There is a predictability to the direction of cycles when one is able to measure the markets "prevailing wisdom" and perceptions.
The strategy to develop, acquire and dispose of real estate requires a combination of careful analysis and an adept sense of timing. The understanding of economic cycles, as well as knowing where a given property type's
value is in relation to the local investment
market cycle - is central to a timing strategy.
a collaborative discussion group, whereby
real estate professionals may discuss
relevant economic drivers related to the
North American cities indicated below. To
access this discussion - Link
supports an assessment survey, which
attempts to gauge where each city is within
its investment market cycle. Link only on the cities where you
have the greatest familiarity - final
results for each market will be published
December 31, 2007, however you will be able to
view the current results in real time.
Non-participants will be able to view survey
results by the middle of February 2008.
American City links:
Salt Lake City,
To establish a survey of cities in Europe, Australia, South America, Asia and the Pacific - please link
here indicating the requested city.
survey approach is a qualitative forecasting
tool using the Delphi technique of surveying
experts that are knowledgeable of a specific
region. The survey
aggregates real estate professional's into a
"jury of opinion" as to investment
cycle for industrial, office, retail and
multi-family residential. It is open to real estate investment brokers, investment managers,
acquisition executives, asset managers, commercial lenders and developers that specialize in institutional grade investment quality transactions.
To participate, we ask that you select a city in which you have the greatest knowledge, press the link and
request a link to the survey. We will be asking you
to identify your functional expertise -
investment broker, owner, lender, etc. in
order that these variables may be included
in our overall analysis.
will receive a return email from us, asking
for verification of participation. Upon
verification, respondents will be able to
see current results in real-time, and a more
thorough analysis by email once the survey
dead-line is closed. Once we establish an
acceptable control group, we hope to monitor the
investment cycle in each market on a quarterly basis.
To sponsor a city survey, please contact our President.
general investment market cycle surveys are accessible to any and all real estate professionals.
Results are an aggregation of their opinions
in general, however we do publish upon
request, a more detailed analysis
incorporating various functional variables.
Our general surveys are for interest only,
and should not be used as a basis for investment decisions.